Utilize este identificador para referenciar este registo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/3875
Título: On the economic and fiscal effects of investment in road infrastructure in Portugal
Autor: Pereira, Alfredo
Andraz, Jorge Miguel
Palavras-chave: Road transportation infrastructures
Portugal
Public investment
Regional spillovers
Data: 2011
Editora: Taylor & Francis
Resumo: The objective of this paper is to investigate the economic and fiscal impact of road infrastructure investment in Portugal, focusing on the effects for each administrative region of both local investments and investments in other regions. We estimate VAR models for the national economy as well as for each of the five regions, and using the associated impulse-response functions we find that investment in road infrastructures has been a powerful instrument to increase private investment, to create new permanent jobs and to promote long-term growth in all regions. More importantly, investment in road infrastructure, both at the aggregate level and for each one of the five regions, generates fiscal effects that largely exceed the initial investment itself. Accordingly, there is no trade-off in the long-term between the potentially positive economic effects and the potentially negative budgetary effects of such investments, i.e., both economic and budgetary effects are positive. As a corollary, policies that would reduce current road investment as a response to the current budgetary concerns will result in lower long-term growth as well as worse budgetary conditions in the future.
Peer review: yes
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/3875
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10168737.2011.607256
ISSN: 1016-8737
Aparece nas colecções:FEC2-Artigos (em revistas ou actas indexadas)

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