Browsing by Author "Pinto, Miguel"
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- Comparative complete scheme and booster effectiveness of COVID‐19 vaccines in preventing SARS‐CoV‐2 infections with SARS‐CoV‐2 Omicron (BA.1) and Delta (B.1.617.2) variants: A case–case study based on electronic health recordsPublication . Kislaya, Irina; Peralta‐Santos, André; Borges, Vítor; Vieira, Luís; Sousa, Carlos; Ferreira, Bibiana; Pelerito, Ana; Gomes, João Paulo; Leite, Pedro Pinto; Nunes, Baltazar; Machado, Ausenda; Rodrigues, Ana Paula; Peixoto, Vasco Ricoca; Casaca, Pedro; Fernandes, Eugenia; Rodrigues, Eduardo; Ferreira, Rita; Isidro, Joana; Pinto, Miguel; Duarte, Sílvia; Santos, Daniela; Meneses, Luís; Almeida, José Pedro; Matias, Ana; Freire, Samanta; Grilo, TeresaBackground: Information on vaccine effectiveness in a context of novel variants of concern (VOC) emergence is of key importance to inform public health policies. This study aimed to estimate a measure of comparative vaccine effectiveness between Omicron (BA.1) and Delta (B.1.617.2 and sub-lineages) VOC according to vaccination exposure (primary or booster). Methods: We developed a case–case study using data on RT-PCR SARS-CoV2-positive cases notified in Portugal during Weeks 49–51, 2021. To obtain measure of comparative vaccine effectiveness, we compared the odds of vaccination in Omicron cases versus Delta using logistic regression adjusted for age group, sex, region, week of diagnosis, and laboratory of origin. Results: Higher odds of vaccination were observed in cases infected by Omicron VOC compared with Delta VOC cases for both complete primary vaccination (odds ratio [OR] = 2.1; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.8 to 2.4) and booster dose (OR = 5.2; 95% CI: 3.1 to 8.8), equivalent to reduction of vaccine effectiveness from 44.7% and 92.8%, observed against infection with Delta, to 6.0% (95% CI: 29.2% to 12.7%) and 62.7% (95% CI: 35.7% to 77.9%), observed against infection with Omicron, for complete primary vaccination and booster dose, respectively. Conclusion: Consistent reduction in vaccine-induced protection against infection with Omicron was observed. Complete primary vaccination may not be protective against SARS-CoV-2 infection in regions where Omicron variant is dominant.
- Eco-socio-economic vulnerability assessment of Portuguese fisheries to climate changePublication . Pinto, Miguel; Albo-Puigserver, Maria; Bueno-Pardo, Juan; N. Monteiro, J.; Teodosio, Maria; Leitão, FranciscoUnderstanding ecological, and socio-economical vulnerabilities is fundamental towards developing and implementing regional adaptation strategies to climate change. The Portuguese coast is situated in a transition zone between temperate ecosystems to the north, and subtropical with Mediterranean characteristics, to the south, with distinct oceanographic regions (north, centre, and south), fish assemblages and socioeconomic realities of fish communities across these regions. We develop a framework to assess fisheries climate vulnerability in each port. A total of 32 ecological and socio-economic indicators were used to measure exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity of the fishing sector to climate change by combining i) environmental projections ii) information from fishing communities (surveys at ports) and iii) landings and socio-economic data from official statistics offices. The vulnerability to climate change across regions, and its expected impact on fishing fleets and local communities, was low-moderate. Such information will enable fishing communities and decision makers to respond to expected climate change effects and direct/indirect associated activities. This framework comprises background information for developing mandatory EU climate adaptation plans that aim to improve the resilience of fisheries socio-economic systems.
- Ecological sensitivity and vulnerability of fishing fleet landings to climate change across regionsPublication . Albo Puigserver, Marta; Bueno-Pardo, Juan; Pinto, Miguel; N. Monteiro, J.; Ovelheiro, Andreia; Teodosio, Maria; Leitão, FranciscoThe degree of exposure of fishing communities to environmental changes can be partially determined by the vulnerability of the target species and the landings composition. Hence, identifying the species that ecologically most contribute to the vulnerability of the landings are key steps to evaluate the risk posed by climate change. We analyse the temporal variability in intrinsic sensitivity and the ecological vulnerability of the Portuguese fisheries landings, considering the species proportions derived both from the weights and revenues. To account for the diversification of species of each fleet, we explored the species dependence of the fishery in combination with the vulnerability of them. The analyses were carried out separately for three fleet typologies and three regions. Opposite to what has been observed at a global scale, the ecological sensitivity of the fisheries landings between 1989 and 2015 did not display a decline across areas or fishing fleets. Considering each fleet independently, for trawling, where average vulnerability was lower than in the other fleets, the sensitivity of the landings increased since the 2000s. On the other hand, the high vulnerability found in multi-gear fleets was compensated by diversification of the species caught, while purse-seine fleets targeted low vulnerability species but presented a high fishery dependence on few species. The results highlight the importance of combining information on ecological vulnerability and diversification of fishing resources at a regional scale while providing a measure of the ecological exposure to climate change.
- Effects of climate variability on an estuarine green crab Carcinus maenas populationPublication . Monteiro, J. N.; Pinto, Miguel; Crespo, Daniel; Pardal, Miguel A.; Martinho, FilipeThe increase in frequency and intensity of extreme climate events over the last few decades has been leading to profound changes in estuarine and marine ecosystems worldwide, with strong implications for the species inhabiting these ecosystems as well as for the services provided by them. In this study, we analysed the effects of climate variability on the temporal and spatial variations in population dynamics of the green crab Carcinus maenas in the Mondego estuary (Portugal), between 2003 and 2018. In this 15-year period, a greater recruitment of C. maenas was observed during drought periods, periods which was matched by an increase in secondary production. Ontogenic stage segregation was also observed, with juveniles being found mainly in the further upriver areas of the estuary. The estuarine population was mainly composed of the green morphotype, with the orange and red morphotypes present in more downstream areas of the estuary. Redundancy analysis (RDA) showed high spatial and temporal variability of C. maenas in the estuary which was related with environmental changes over the 15-year period. A correlation between C. maenas biological features and several local-scale (salinity and river runoff) and large-scale (North Atlantic Oscillation index and Eastern Atlantic pattern) environmental variables was identified through cumulative sums analysis (CUSUM), indicating a strong environmental control on C. maenas population dynamics. This paper shows the importance of relatively long-term datasets to unravel the effects of extreme weather events due to climate change on key epibenthic estuarine species, and also how they might cope with a changing marine environment.
- Implications of warming on the morphometric and reproductive traits of the Green Crab, Carcinus maenasPublication . N. Monteiro, J.; Bueno-Pardo, Juan; Pinto, Miguel; Pardal, Miguel A.; Martinho, Filipe; Miguel de Sousa Leitão, FranciscoUnderstanding the relationship between environmental temperature and the biological traits of organisms is fundamental to inferring the potential impacts of climate change. In the case of marine poikilotherm species, seawater temperature is one of the main driving forces of biological processes, with consequences at higher levels of organization such as population and ecosystem. In this study, we analysed differences in maximum carapace width (CWmax), size at maturation, relative size at maturation, and duration of the reproductive season for the green crab (Carcinus maenas) along a temperature gradient. An extensive review of bibliographic data was performed on studies published between 1962 and 2020, gathering C. maenas data from 55 different populations, spread over 20 degrees of latitude and 14.2 °C of sea surface temperature (SST). In addition, green crab data were collected at five different lagoons and estuaries along the continental Portuguese coast. The relationship between average SST and CWmax, age of maturation, reduction of size at maturation, and duration of egg bearing was analysed to understand the role of SST in driving variation in these C. maenas characteristics across a latitudinal gradient. There was a significant relationship between SST and CWmax for males and SST and CW of females at maturation, respectively. The results extrapolate for each local projected temperature increase caused by climate change and suggest an effect on the morphometric and reproductive traits of C. maenas across regions. These changes comprise an overall reduction in C. maenas body size, an enlargement of the reproductive season, a shortening in the duration of larval developmental time, and a decrease in the relative size of crabs at maturation. Secondary consequences on the fecundity and connectivity of populations are discussed.
- Influence of oceanic and climate conditions on the early life history of European seabass Dicentrarchus labraxPublication . Pinto, Miguel; N. Monteiro, J.; Crespo, D.; Costa, F.; Rosa, J.; Primo, A. L.; Pardal, M. A.; Martinho, F.Understanding how marine fish early-life history is affected in the long-term by environmental and oceanographic factors is fundamental given its importance to population dynamics and connectivity. This work aimed at determining the influence of these processes on the interannual variability in hatch day and early-life growth patterns of European seabass, over a seven-year period (2011-2017) in the Atlantic Iberian coast. To accomplish this, otolith microstructure analysis was used to determine seabass hatch day and to develop early-growth correlations. In most years, hatching occurred from February to April, with two exceptions: in 2012, hatching started in early-January, and in 2016 an exceptionally long hatching period was registered. Using generalized additive models (GAM), we observed that sea surface temperature (SST), the North Atlantic Oscillation index (NAOi) and Chlorophyll-a (Chla) were the main drivers behind the inter-annual variability in seabass hatch day. Analysis of correlations between growth increments allowed assessing important periods of seabass growth and how future growth is affected. Since seawater temperature is among the main drivers for seabass recruitment and growth, its life cycle may be hampered due to ocean warming and an increasingly unstable climate, with consequences for the natural marine stocks and their harvest.
- Reproductive traits of the African mud crab (Panopeus africanus) on the South Portuguese coastPublication . N. Monteiro, J.; Ovelheiro, Andreia; Pinto, Miguel; Teodosio, Maria; Leitão, FranciscoSpecies with high economic relevance are widely studied in contrast with low economic relevance species such as Panopeus africanus, a small crab with a wide distribution along the eastern Atlantic coast, which remains poorly studied in regarding to the biological and ecological issues. Knowledge of reproductive patterns is essential to understand populations dynamics and species biological life-cycle traits. The main objective of the present research was to study the reproductive patterns of P. africanus. The population size structure, maturation stages and gametogenic development aspect, size at maturation, reproductive periods and morphometric-fecundity relationships of P. africanus in the southern Portuguese coast (Ria Formosa) was analysed. Crabs were sampled monthly, from January 2019 to December 2021, with traps and hand collected. The crab's carapace width (CW) ranged between 7 to 52 mm, and it was observed that in smaller and larger CW size classes, the proportion of males was higher, however in intermediate CW size classes the sex ratio was near 1:1. The gonads development was characterized based on histological analysis. Males presented four maturity developmental stages where two stages were immature and two were mature. Females presented six maturity developmental stages, where two stages were immature, and four stages were mature. Regardless of sex, the mean maturity size was 20 mm CW. A high percentage of mature individuals was observed throughout the year however, in the colder months the percentage of mature individuals was lower. Additionally, ovigerous females were only observed in the warmer months, pointing to a short breeding period occurring in the warmer months. Fecundity ranged between 12368 and 84140 eggs/female, following a positive correlation between CW/egg number. These novel results allowed to shed light on reproductive patterns of P. africanus population inhabiting the southern Portuguese coast, contributing also to a better understanding of the basic reproductive biology of this crab populations.
- Vulnerabilidade da pesca em Portugal ao impacto das mudanças climáticasPublication . Miguel de Sousa Leitão, Francisco; Pinto, Miguel; Albo Puigserver, Marta; Teodosio, Maria AlexandraEste livro pretende enriquecer o setor da pesca, com informação relativa ao efeito das alterações climáticas, no setor pesqueiro. Visa, assim, aumentar a capacidade de os pescadores enfrentarem os desafios das mudanças climáticas. A capacidade de tolerar as alterações futuras, que o meio marinho irá sofrer, e o seu impacto nos recursos pesqueiros, só poderá ser assegurada se a pesca se basear nos princípios de uma exploração sustentável e ecológica.