Percorrer por autor "Arrizabalaga, Haritz"
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- Are shifts in species distribution triggered by climate change? A swordfish case studyPublication . Erauskin-Extramiana, Maite; Arrizabalaga, Haritz; Cabré, Anna; Coelho, Rui; Rosa, Daniela; Ibaibarriaga, Leire; Chust, GuillemSpecies shifts due to climate change are being recorded and reported worldwide. However, the accurate estimation and causal attribution of species shifts using spatial distribution indicators, such as the center of gravity, is challenging. This is particularly problematic for commercially exploited marine species with data from research surveys, commercial fisheries or other data collection methods that are not recorded homogeneously over time and space. Here, we propose a new framework to ascertain whether the changes in the spatial distribution of species are due to changes in habitat conditions, fishing activity or other factors. This approach is developed to help elucidate the main drivers of species shifts and it is based upon the comparison of historical trends in species distribution shifts among raw data and modeled: i) fishing effort, ii) population occurrence and abundance, iii) habitat, and iv) spatio-temporal reconstruction of the species distribution. We apply this new methodology to the case study of swordfish populations worldwide. On a global scale, 2 out of 6 stocks of swordfish shifted latitudinally during 1958–2004. Of those two, only the Mediterranean stock was associated with a linear trend change of its habitat. In two other stocks, the latitudinal center of gravity of populations occurrence varies following their habitats’ interannual variability; however, this shift is not linear. We further developed a worldwide habitat suitability model for swordfish and projected its distribution and abundance into the future under the RCP8.5 climate change scenario, the highest greenhouse gas concentration scenario, by the end of the century. Future projections estimate an overall swordfish decrease of 22% in CPUE (catch per unit of effort), with substantial decreases in most tropical areas, and a slight increase in its distribution range limits, both in the north and southern hemispheres.
- Global habitat predictions to inform spatiotemporal fisheries management: initial steps within the frameworkPublication . Bowlby, Heather D.; Druon, Jean-Noël; Lopez, Jon; Juan-Jordá, Maria José; Carreón-Zapiain, María Teresa; Vandeperre, Frederic; Leone, Agostino; Finucci, Brittany; Sabarros, Philippe S.; Block, Barbara A.; Arrizabalaga, Haritz; Afonso, Pedro; Musyl, Michael K.; Cortés, Enric; Cardoso, Luis Gustavo; Mourato, Bruno; Queiroz, Nuno; Fontes, Jorge; Abascal, Francisco J.; Zanzi, Antonella; Hazin, Humberto Gomes; Bach, Pascal; Sims, David W.; Travassos, Paulo; Coelho, RuiTuna Regional Fishery Management Organizations (tRFMOs) are increasingly interested in spatiotemporal management as a tool to reduce interaction rates with vulnerable species. We use blue shark ( Prionace glauca ) as a case study to demonstrate the critical first steps in the implementation process, highlighting how predictions of global habitat for vulnerable life stages can be transformed into a publicly -accessible spatial bycatch mitigation tool. By providing examples of possible management goals and an associated threshold to identify essential habitats, we show how these key areas can represent a relatively low percentage of oceanic area on a monthly basis (16-24% between 50 degrees S and 60 degrees N), yet can have relatively high potential protection efficiency (similar to 42%) for vulnerable stages if fishing effort is redistributed elsewhere. While spatiotemporal management has demonstrable potential for blue sharks to effectively mitigate fishing mortality on sensitive life stages, we identify inherent challenges and sequential steps that require careful consideration by tRFMOs as work proceeds. We also discuss how our single-species framework could be easily extended to a multispecies approach by assigning relative conservation risk before layering habitat model predictions in an integrated analysis. Such broader application of our approach could address the goals of tRFMOs related to reducing the ecosystem effects of fishing and pave the way for efficient fisheries co-management using an ecosystem-based approach.
- Natural geochemical markers reveal environmental history and population connectivity of common cuttlefish in the Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean SeaPublication . Rooker, Jay R.; Wells, R. J. David; Addis, Piero; Arrizabalaga, Haritz; Baptista, Miguel; Bearzi, Giovanni; Dance, Michael A.; Fraile, Igaratza; Lacoue-Labarthe, Thomas; Lee, Jessica M.; Megalofonou, Persefoni; Rosa, Rui; Sobrino, Ignacio; Sykes, António; Villanueva, RogerNatural markers (delta C-13 and delta O-18 stable isotopes) in the cuttlebones of the European common cuttlefish (Sepia officinalis) were determined for individuals collected across a substantial portion of their range in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean (NEAO) and Mediterranean Sea. Cuttlebone delta C-13 and delta O-18 were quantified for core and edge material to characterize geochemical signatures associated with early (juvenile) and recent (sub-adult/adult) life-history periods, respectively. Regional shifts in cuttlebone delta C-13 and delta O-18 values were detected across the 12 sites investigated. Individuals collected from sites in the NEAO displayed more enriched delta C-13 and delta O-18 values relative to sites in the Mediterranean Sea, with the latter also showing salient differences in both markers among western, central and eastern collection areas. Classification success based on cuttlebone delta C-13 and delta O-18 values to four geographical regions (NEAO, western, central and eastern Mediterranean Sea) was relatively high, suggesting that environmental conditions in each region were distinct and produced area-specific geochemical signatures on the cuttlebones ofS. officinalis. A modified delta C-13 and delta O-18 baseline was developed from sites proximal to the Strait of Gibraltar in both the NEAO and Mediterranean Sea to assess potential mixing through this corridor. Nearly, all (95%) of delta C-13 and delta O-18 signatures ofS. officinaliscollected in the area of the NEAO closest to the Strait of Gibraltar (Gulf of Cadiz) matched the signatures of specimens collected in the western Mediterranean, signifying potential movement and mixing of individuals through this passageway. This study extends the current application of these geochemical markers for assessing the natal origin and population connectivity of this species and potentially other taxa that inhabit this geographical area.
- Regional patterns of δ13C and δ15N for European common cuttlefish (Sepia officinalis) throughout the Northeast Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean SeaPublication . David Wells, R. J.; Rooker, Jay R.; Addis, Piero; Arrizabalaga, Haritz; Baptista, Miguel; Bearzi, Giovanni; Fraile, Igaratza; Lacoue-Labarthe, Thomas; Meese, Emily N.; Megalofonou, Persefoni; Rosa, Rui; Sobrino, Ignacio; Sykes, Antonio V.; Villanueva, RogerThe European common cuttlefish, Sepia officinalis Linnaeus, 1758 is a coastal nektobenthic species ranging from the Shetland Islands through the Northeast Atlantic Ocean and Northwest Africa into the Mediterranean Sea [1]. This species constitutes one of the most economically valuable cephalopod resources in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean, supporting an important fishery resource [2,3]. Sepia officinalis has a relatively short lifespan of 1–2 years, early sexual maturity and an extended spawning season laying eggs on the seafloor with direct benthic, large hatchlings [4,5]. Given this species geographical distribution combined with limited dispersal, it has been a targeted model species to examine connectivity throughout the Northeast Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea (hereafter NEAO-MS) [6]. Natural biomarkers such as stable isotopes are commonly used to examine food web structure and ecosystem connectivity in marine environments [7,8]. Stable isotopes of carbon (δ13C) and nitrogen (δ15N) are particularly useful tracers due to their natural abundance being influenced by the environment and ease of measurement in body tissues without having to track individuals in a population. δ13C is traditionally used to trace carbon pathways because little fractionation occurs between predator and prey, and different primary producers (energy sources) often have unique δ13C values [9]. δ13C values of consumers are a product of the primary producers’ composition and influenced by the dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) pool, as well as local abiotic factors including sea surface temperature, and can differ across ocean basins [10] and region-specific freshwater to marine gradients [9]. δ15N becomes enriched with increasing trophic level and is used to infer trophic position [7], but can also differ at the base of the food web. Depending upon the types of nutrients available to stimulate growth, δ15N values can be used to track energy flow in high-nutrient (nitrate) and low-nutrient (N2 fixation) ecosystems as well as new nitrogen (upwelled nitrate) versus regenerated nitrogen (ammonia, urea). Combining both δ13C and δ15N offers the potential to study the connectivity and population structure of species because longitudinal and latitudinal gradients exist throughout marine ecosystems [11,12], including the NEAO-MS [8,13].
- Testing robustness of CPUE standardization and inclusion of environmental variables with simulated longline catch datasetsPublication . Forrestal, Francesca C.; Schirripa, Michael; Goodyear, C. Phillip; Arrizabalaga, Haritz; Babcock, Elizabeth A.; Coelho, Rui; Ingram, Walter; Lauretta, Matthew; Ortiz, Mauricio; Sharma, Rishi; Walter, JohnEnvironmental variability changes the distribution, migratory patterns, and susceptibility to various fishing gears for highly migratory marine fish. These changes become especially problematic when they affect the indices of abundance (such as those based on catch-per-unit-effort: CPUE) used to assess the status of fish stocks. The use of simulated CPUE data sets with known values of underlying population trends has been recommended by ICCAT (International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas) to test the robustness of CPUE standardization methods. A longline CPUE data simulator was developed to meet this objective and simulate fisheries data from a population with distinct habitat preferences. The simulation was used to test several statistical hypotheses regarding best practices for index standardization aimed at accurate estimation of population trends. Effort data from the US pelagic longline fleet was paired with a volume-weighted habitat suitability model for blue marlin (Makaira nigricans) to derive a simulated time series of blue marlin catch and effort from 1986 to 2015 with four different underlying population trends. The simulated CPUE data were provided to stock assessment scientists to determine if the underlying population abundance trend could accurately be detected with different methods of CPUE standardization that did or did not incorporate environmental data. While the analysts’ approach to the data and the modeling structure differed, the underlying population trends were captured, some more successfully than others. In general, the inclusion of environmental and habitat variables aided the standardization process. However, differences in approaches highlight the importance of how explanatory variables are categorized and the criteria for including those variables. A set of lessons learned from this study was developed as recommendations for best practices for CPUE standardization.
