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- Prediction of short-term prognosis in elderly patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhagePublication . Batista, AntĆ³nio; OsĆ³rio, Rui; Varela, Ana; Guilherme, PatrĆcia; Marreiros, Ana; Pais, Sandra; Nzwalo, HipĆ³litoAim The incidence of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) increases with age. Data on SICH mortality in the very old are sparse. We aimed to describe the predictors of 30-day SICH mortality in the very elderly in southern Portugal. Methods A total of 256 community representative SICH patients aged >= 75 years (2009-2016) were included. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify predictors of 30-day mortality. Results Mean age was 82.1 years; 57.4% males. The 30-day case fatality was 38.7%. The frequency of patients taking anticoagulants (29.3% vs. 11.5%); comatose (46.9% vs. 2.5%); with hematoma volume >= 30 mL (64.6% vs. 13.4%); intraventricular dissection (78.8% vs. 27.4%) was higher in deceased patients (p < 0.05). Survivors were more often admitted to stroke unit (SU) (68.2 vs. 31.3%) and had lower mean admission glycaemia values (p < 0.05). The likelihood of death was increased in patients with higher admission hematoma volume (>= 30 mL) (OR: 8.817, CI 1.753-44.340, p = 0.008) and with prior to SICH history of >= 2 hospitalizations OR = 1.022, CI 1.009-1.069, p = 0.031). Having higher Glasgow coma scale score, OR: 0.522, CI 0.394-0.692, p < 0.001, per unit was associated with reduced risk of death. Age was not an independent risk factor of short-term death. Conclusions The short-term mortality is high in very elderly SICH. Prior to SICH history of hospitalization, an indirect and gross marker of coexistent functional reserve, not age per se, increases the risk of short-term death. Other predictors of short-term death are potentially manageable reinforcing the message against any defeatist attitude toward elderly patients with SICH. Key summary pointsAim Identification of predictors of short-term death after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) in the elderly. Findings The short-term case fatality (38.7%) after SICH is high in the elderly. Hematoma volume, decreased level of consciousness and functional reserve, but not age per se, increase the risk of short-term death. Message Age per se should not justify any decision of withholding best treatment in elderly SICH patients. Offering the best acute treatment can potentially improve the clinical outcome.
- Impact of process of care in the short-term mortality in non-severe intracerebral hemorrhage in southern PortugalPublication . Fernandes, Adriana; Taveira, Isabel; Soares, Rita; Marreiros, Ana; Nzwalo, HipĆ³litoIntroduction: Patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) face the worse functional and vital prognosis among all stroke subtypes. In cases of severe SICH, therapeutic inertia or nihilism complicates meaningful identification of outcome predictors. Therefore, we sought to investigate clinic-radiological and process of care predictors of short-term mortality in patients with mild to moderate SICH. Patients and methods: Observational retrospective community representative consecutive case series of patients from Algarve, southern Portugal. Logistic regression was used to identify predictors of short-term (30-day) death. Results: Mortality was 23.9% (111/464). Most important predictors of death were unconsciousness at admission (OR = 12.392, 95% CI = 3.816-40.241, p < 0.001), hospital arrival > 6 h after stroke onset (OR = 2.842, 95% CI = 1.380-5.852, p =.005), hematoma volume > 30 cc/cm3 (OR = 3.295, 95% CI 0 1.561-6.953, p =.002), intraventricular extension (OR = 2.885, 95% CI = 1.457-5.712, p =.002) and > 24 h in the Emergency Department (OR =19.675, 95% CI = 3.682-34.125, p =.009). Stroke Unit (SU) admission reduced the likelihood of death (OR = 0.293, 95% CI = 0.137-0.682, p =.002). Conclusion: The observed mortality is high. Apart from the traditional clinic-radiological factors, in mild to moderate SICH, process of care related factors have strong impact on mortality. These results highlight the need of continuous improvement of SICH care to improve the prognosis.
- Contralateral carotid stenosis is a predictor of long-term adverse events in carotid endarterectomyPublication . Moreira, Rita; Duarte-Gamas, LuĆs; Pereira-Macedo, Juliana; Pereira-Neves, AntĆ³nio; Domingues-Monteiro, Diogo; JĆ”come, Filipa; Andrade, JosĆ© P.; Marreiros, Ana; Rocha-Neves, JoĆ£oContralateral carotid stenosis (cICS) has been described as a perioperative predictor of mortality after carotid endarterectomy (CEA). However, its predictive value on long-term cardiovascular events remains controversial. The study aims to assess the potential role of cICS as a long-term predictor of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients who underwent CEA. From January 2012 to July 2020, patients undergoing CEA under regional anesthesia for carotid stenosis in a tertiary care and referral center were eligible from a prospective database, and a post hoc analysis was performed. The primary outcome consisted in the occurrence of long-term MACE. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, stroke, myocardial infarction, acute heart failure, and major adverse limb events. A total of 192 patients were enrolled. With a median 50 months follow-up, chronic kidney disease (CKD) (mean survival time (MST) 51.7 vs. 103.3, P < 0.010) and peripheral artery disease (PAD) (MST 75.1 vs. 90.3, P = 0.001) were associated with decreased survival time. After propensity score matching (PSM), CKD (MST 49.1 vs. 106.0, P = 0.001) and PAD (MST 75.7 vs. 94.0, P = 0.001) maintained this association. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, contralateral stenosis was associated with higher MACE (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.035; 95% CI: 1.113-3.722, P = 0.021 and all-cause mortality (HR = 2.564; 95% CI: 1.276-5,152 P = 0.008). After PSM, only all-cause mortality (HR 2.323; 95% CI: 0.993-5.431, P = 0.052) maintained a significant association with cICS. On multivariable analysis, cICS (aHR 2.367; 95% CI: 1.174-4.771, P = 0.016), age (aHR 1.039, 95% CI: 1.008-1.070), CKD (aHR 2.803; 95% CI: 1.409-5.575, P = 0.003) and PAD (aHR 3.225, 95% CI: 1.695-6.137, P < 0.001) were independently associated with increased all-cause mortality. Contrary to MACE, cICS is a strong predictor of long-term all-cause mortality after CEA. However, MACE risk may compromise CEA benefits by other competitive events. Therefore, further studies are needed to establish the role of cICS on postoperative events and on patients' specific assessments in order to determine the best medical treatment and easy access to surgical intervention.
- Incidence and case-fatality from spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage in a southern region of PortugalPublication . Nzwalo, HipĆ³lito; Nogueira, Jerina; FĆ©lix, Catarina; Guilherme, PatrĆcia; Baptista, Alexandre; Figueiredo, Teresa; Ferreira, Fatima; Marreiros, Ana; Thomassen, Lars; Logallo, NicolaBackground: There is scarce information on incidence and case fatality of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) in certain regions of the world, including in Europe. There is no community-based data on SICH in Southern Portugal. Aim: To determine the incidence and early case-fatality from SICH in Algarve, the southernmost region of Portugal. Methods: The recommended criteria for stroke incidence studies was used to identify cases of incident first-ever SICH from January 1st to December 31st 2015 in a subregion with 280,081 inhabitants. Crude incidence rates per age group and gender; standardized rates to the European population; and age adjusted case fatality rates were calculated. Results: Eighty-two first-ever cases of SICH (64.6% men) occurred. The mean age was 72.3 years (SD +/- 12.1); women were 3 years older than men on average and had more frequently lobar SICH. The crude annual incidence rate was 29.2/100,000 (95% CI 23.4- 38.6; p < 0.001); higher in men (39.7/100,000) than women (19.8/100,000). The standardized to the European population incidence was 15.1/100,000 (95% CI 3.6-18.9; p < 0.05); 26.9 and 10.9/100,000 for men and women respectively. The 30-day case-fatality was 40 % (95% CI 29-51) and increased steeply with age Conclusion: The incidence of SICH in Southern Portugal was high, but within the figures found in some parts of Europe. However, a marked predominance of males was found and the case-fatality rate was amongst the highest reported in western countries. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
- Poor intensive stroke care is associated with short-term death after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhagePublication . Martinez, Joana; Mouzinho, Maria; Teles, Joana; Guilherme, Patricia; Nogueira, Jerina; Felix, Catarina; Ferreira, Fatima; Marreiros, Ana; Nzwalo, HipĆ³litoObjectives: The case fatality from spontaneous ICH (SICH) remains high. The quality and intensity of early treatment is one of the determinants of the outcome. We aimed to study the association of early intensive care, using the Intracerebral Hemorrhage-Specific Intensity of Care Quality Metrics (IHSICQM) with the 30-day in-hospital mortality in Algarve, Portugal. Patients and Methods: analysis of prospective collected data of 157 consecutive SICH patients (2014-2016). Logistic regression was performed to assess the role of IHSICQM on the 30-day in-hospital mortality controlling for the most common clinical and radiological predictors of death. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was developed to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the IHSICQM score (C-statistics). Results: forty-five (29 %) patients died. The group of deceased patients had lower intensity of care (lower IHSICQM score) and higher proportion of poor prognosis associated factors (pre-ICH functional dependency, intraventricular dissection/glycaemia). On the multivariate analysis, higher IHSICQM was associated with reduction of the odds of death, 0.27 (0.14-0.50) per each increasing point. The ROC curve showed a high discriminating ability of isolated IHSICQM in predicting the 30-day mortality (AUC = 0,95; 95 % CI = [0,86; 0,95]). Conclusion: the early intensity of quality of care independently predicts the 30-day in-hospital mortality. Quantification of the intensity of SICH is a valid tool to persuade improvement of SICH care, as well to help comparison of performances within and between hospitals.