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Assessing mackerel scad, Decapterus macarellus, in Cape Verde: using a Bayesian approach to biomass dynamic modelling in a data-limited situation

dc.contributor.authorStobberup, Kim A.
dc.contributor.authorErzini, Karim
dc.date.accessioned2016-12-23T11:18:14Z
dc.date.available2016-12-23T11:18:14Z
dc.date.issued2006-12
dc.description.abstractThe fisheries for mackerel scad, Decapterus macarellus, are particularly important in Cape Verde, constituting almost 40% of total catches at the peak of the fishery in 1997 and 1998 ( 3700 tonnes). Catches have been stable at a much lower level of about 2 100 tonnes in recent years. Given the importance of mackerel scad in terms of catch weight and local food security, there is an urgent need for updated assessment. Stock assessment was carried out using a Bayesian approach to biomass dynamic modelling. In order to tackle the problem of a non-informative CPUE series, the intrinsic rate of increase, r, was estimated separately, and the ratio B-0/X, initial biomass relative to carrying capacity, was assumed based on available information. The results indicated that the current level of fishing is sustainable. The probability of collapse is low, particularly in the short-term, and it is likely that biomass may increase further above B-msy, indicating a healthy stock level. It would appear that it is relatively safe to increase catches even up to 4000 tonnes. However, the marginal posterior of r was almost identical to the prior, indicating that there is relatively low information content in CPUE. This was also the case in relation to B-0/X There have been substantial increases in fishing efficiency, which have not been adequately captured by the measure used for effort (days or trips), implying that the results may be overly optimistic and should be considered preliminary. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2006.06.005
dc.identifier.issn0165-7836
dc.identifier.otherAUT: KER00534;
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/8860
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relation.isbasedonWOS:000242494300022
dc.subjectCape Verde
dc.subjectDecapterus macarellus
dc.subjectBiomass dynamic models
dc.subjectBayesian
dc.titleAssessing mackerel scad, Decapterus macarellus, in Cape Verde: using a Bayesian approach to biomass dynamic modelling in a data-limited situation
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage203
oaire.citation.issue1-3
oaire.citation.startPage194
oaire.citation.titleFisheries Research
oaire.citation.volume82
person.familyNameErzini
person.givenNameKarim
person.identifier.ciencia-idD917-7133-341A
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-1411-0126
person.identifier.ridM-5216-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7004015948
rcaap.rightsrestrictedAccess
rcaap.typearticle
relation.isAuthorOfPublicatione20f0e2d-3085-4c37-9e98-260dc9faddea
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverye20f0e2d-3085-4c37-9e98-260dc9faddea

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