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Scanning the horizon: anticipating future changes in Portuguese aquatic ecosystems

2025-12Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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datacite.subject.sdg14:Proteger a Vida Marinha
datacite.subject.sdg15:Proteger a Vida Terrestre
datacite.subject.sdg13:Ação Climática
dc.contributor.authorSousa, Ronaldo
dc.contributor.authorFerreira, Verónica
dc.contributor.authorCostas, Susana
dc.contributor.authorAlves, Celso
dc.contributor.authorAnastácio, Pedro
dc.contributor.authorChaínho, Paula
dc.contributor.authorCosta, Pedro A.
dc.contributor.authorDuarte, Sofia
dc.contributor.authorFeio, Maria João
dc.contributor.authorFranco, João N.
dc.contributor.authorGonçalves, José
dc.contributor.authorRibeiro, Filipe
dc.contributor.authorRobalo, Joana I.
dc.contributor.authorRivaes, Rui
dc.contributor.authorSantos, Jacqueline
dc.contributor.authorSilva, Janine
dc.contributor.authorSobral, Paula
dc.contributor.authorPadilha, Janeide
dc.date.accessioned2026-03-09T10:01:48Z
dc.date.available2026-03-09T10:01:48Z
dc.date.issued2025-12
dc.description.abstractWe identified 15 emerging and poorly understood topics related to aquatic ecosystems in Portugal (from an initial pool of 43), which were scored and prioritized using a consensus-based Delphi technique. For marine ecosystems, the topics included current and future threats to low-lying sandy coasts, the impacts of the green energy transition, the risks posed by pathogens on floating ocean debris, the strategic importance of algae for a sustainable future, and Portugal’s potential contribution to the expansion of Marine Protected Areas. For freshwater ecosystems, the topics included identifying drought refuges for freshwater biodiversity, assessing the potential ecological and social costs of water highways, uncovering the hidden impacts of clean energy (floating solar panels and lithium mining), managing water quality in reservoirs, and understanding the potential impacts of the recent expansion of intensive olive orchards. For cross-cutting topics relevant to both types of ecosystems, the most scored topics included the importance of aquatic super-sites for ecological monitoring, new solutions for detecting and removing emerging pollutants, the application of rewilding, the impact of forest pathogens and emerging zoonoses, and the rise of organic compounds as a multidimensional threat. Prioritizing these topics can support a more proactive approach to conserving, managing, and sustainably exploring aquatic ecosystems in Portugal. This methodology can also be used to prioritize research funding areas identified bottom up (by the scientific community) rather than dictated from the top down (by decision-makers) and serve as a roadmap for conducting similar exercises in other regions of the world.eng
dc.description.sponsorshipCEEC/0482/2020; CEECIND/CP2841/CT0002; CEECINSTLA/00018/2022; CEECIND/02484/2018; UID/00350/2020
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.indic.2025.100876
dc.identifier.issn2665-9727
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/28376
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relationMarine and Environmental Sciences Centre
dc.relationAquatic Research Infrastructure Network
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental and Sustainability Indicators
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectConservation
dc.subjectDroughts
dc.subjectEnergy
dc.subjectManagement
dc.subjectMonitoring
dc.subjectPollution
dc.titleScanning the horizon: anticipating future changes in Portuguese aquatic ecosystemseng
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumberUIDB/04292/2020
oaire.awardNumberLA/P/0069/2020
oaire.awardTitleMarine and Environmental Sciences Centre
oaire.awardTitleAquatic Research Infrastructure Network
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F04292%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/LA%2FP%2F0069%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.startPage100876
oaire.citation.titleEnvironmental and Sustainability Indicators
oaire.citation.volume28
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameCostas
person.familyNameSantos
person.givenNameSusana
person.givenNameJacqueline
person.identifier1448818
person.identifier.ciencia-idAF19-9EEE-7550
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-4005-077X
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8838-0444
person.identifier.scopus-author-id9043656500
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
relation.isAuthorOfPublication62d73183-10ba-42ca-80a7-458c42d1375b
relation.isAuthorOfPublicatione2d1e951-d081-48bf-a4a5-892c305ebbc6
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery62d73183-10ba-42ca-80a7-458c42d1375b
relation.isProjectOfPublication61d0bac5-8f85-40c7-ac39-0fb64c5ff771
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relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery61d0bac5-8f85-40c7-ac39-0fb64c5ff771

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