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Current and potential future distribution of Endemic Salvia ceratophylloides Ard. (Lamiaceae)

dc.contributor.authorLaface, Valentina Lucia Astrid
dc.contributor.authorMusarella, Carmelo Maria
dc.contributor.authorTavilla, Gianmarco
dc.contributor.authorSorgonà, Agostino
dc.contributor.authorCano-Ortiz, Ana
dc.contributor.authorQuinto Canas, Ricardo
dc.contributor.authorSpampinato, Giovanni
dc.date.accessioned2023-01-24T11:34:31Z
dc.date.available2023-01-24T11:34:31Z
dc.date.issued2023-01-13
dc.date.updated2023-01-20T14:22:40Z
dc.description.abstractHuman activities and climate change are the main factors causing habitat loss, jeopardising the survival of many species, especially those with limited range, such as endemic species. Recently, species distribution models (SDMs) have been used in conservation biology to assess their extinction risk, environmental dynamics, and potential distribution. This study analyses the potential, current and future distribution range of Salvia ceratophylloides Ard., an endemic perennial species of the Lamiaceae family that occurs exclusively in a limited suburban area of the city of Reggio Calabria (southern Italy). The MaxEnt model was employed to configure the current potential range of the species using bioclimatic and edaphic variables, and to predict the potential suitability of the habitat in relation to two future scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585) for the periods 2021–2040 and 2041–2060. The field survey, which spanned 5 years (2017–2021), involved 17 occurrence points. According to the results of the MaxEnt model, the current potential distribution is 237.321 km2 , which considering the preferred substrates of the species and land-use constraints is re-estimated to 41.392 km2 . The model obtained from the SSP245 future scenario shows a decrease in the area suitable for the species of 35% in the 2021–2040 period and 28% in the 2041–2060 period. The SSP585 scenario shows an increase in the range suitable for hosting the species of 167% in the 2021–2040 period and 171% in the 2041–2060 period. Assessing variation in the species distribution related to the impacts of climate change makes it possible to define priority areas for reintroduction and in situ conservation. Identifying areas presumably at risk or, on the contrary, suitable for hosting the species is of paramount importance for management and conservation plans for Salvia ceratophylloides.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationLand 12 (1): 247 (2023)pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/land12010247pt_PT
dc.identifier.eissn2073-445X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/18906
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherMDPIpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectConservationpt_PT
dc.subjectCalabriapt_PT
dc.subjectClimate changespt_PT
dc.subjectEndangered speciespt_PT
dc.subjectItalypt_PT
dc.subjectMaxEntpt_PT
dc.subjectSSP245pt_PT
dc.subjectSSP585pt_PT
dc.subjectVascular plantspt_PT
dc.titleCurrent and potential future distribution of Endemic Salvia ceratophylloides Ard. (Lamiaceae)pt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue1pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage247pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleLandpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume12pt_PT
person.familyNameQuinto Canas
person.givenNameRicardo
person.identifier.ciencia-id291B-7EF7-6E88
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6452-4618
person.identifier.scopus-author-id38762028300
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication22ec519e-7a6e-49dc-a382-27d67f2016d4
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery22ec519e-7a6e-49dc-a382-27d67f2016d4

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