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The economic dimension of climate change impacts on tourism: the case of Portugal

dc.contributor.authorPintassilgo, Pedro
dc.contributor.authorRossello, Jaume
dc.contributor.authorSantana-Gallego, Maria
dc.contributor.authorValle, Elisabeth
dc.date.accessioned2017-04-07T15:56:18Z
dc.date.available2017-04-07T15:56:18Z
dc.date.issued2016-08
dc.description.abstractClimate variables such as temperature and precipitation play a crucial role on tourism flows worldwide. This places tourism at the forefront of the economic sectors to be affected by climate change. In this article, we address the impacts of climate change on the arrivals of inbound tourists to Portugal, a south European country where tourism is a core economic sector. The economic dimension of the impacts, in terms of gross domestic product (GDP) and employment, is then assessed. This is achieved by combining a world gravity model of tourism flows with an input-output model. The results show that under standard climate change scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Portugal will experience a significant increase in temperature leading to a decrease of inbound tourism arrivals between 2.5% and 5.2%. This decrease in tourist arrivals is expected to reduce Portuguese GDP between 0.19% and 0.40%.
dc.identifier.doi10.1177/1354816616654242
dc.identifier.issn1354-8166
dc.identifier.otherAUT: PPI01682;
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/9375
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherSage
dc.relation.isbasedonWOS:000380945600002
dc.titleThe economic dimension of climate change impacts on tourism: the case of Portugal
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceLisbon, Portugal
oaire.citation.endPage698
oaire.citation.issue4
oaire.citation.startPage685
oaire.citation.titleTourism Economics
oaire.citation.volume22
person.familyNamePintassilgo
person.givenNamePedro
person.identifier.ciencia-id0915-956B-B8D3
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9115-4301
person.identifier.scopus-author-id16402577500
rcaap.rightsopenAccess
rcaap.typearticle
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationc4dae0e0-dafe-4a63-b30b-cf4f0b3deac3
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryc4dae0e0-dafe-4a63-b30b-cf4f0b3deac3

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