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Projections of maximum tidal inundation limits of estuaries and lagoons of the south Algarve, forced by mean sea level rise: RCP8.5 scenario

dc.contributor.authorSampath, Dissanayake
dc.contributor.authorBoski, Tomasz
dc.contributor.authorMoura, Delminda
dc.contributor.authorVeiga-Pires, C.
dc.date.accessioned2023-08-01T12:00:57Z
dc.date.available2023-08-01T12:00:57Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.date.updated2023-07-31T11:20:07Z
dc.description.abstractIn the present study, we adopted the Hybrid Estuarine Sedimentation Model to simulate the estuarine and lagoon evolution in the South Algarve region due to projected mean sea level rise (MSLR) and sediment deficit scenarios during the 21st century. Thus, we forecasted morphological evolution of six large and medium size estuaries (Guadiana Alcantarilha, Arade, Gilão, Quarteira River, Alvor and a coastal lagoon system (Ria Formosa lagoon) due to the imposed scenarios of MSLR. The projected digital elevation models were used to identify the maximum tidal limits of each system by the year 2100. According to the results, in all cases, saltmarsh habitats and sand flats will be affected severely in response to upper-limit of RCP8.5 scenario of MSLR by 2100. The conjugation of the increase of the mud-flat area and the decrease of saltmarshes will result in the reduction of habitats and then of biodiversity. Habitats associated with the Ria Formosa coastal lagoon and the Guadiana estuary are highly vulnerable to the worst case scenario of MSLR (90 cm higher relative to the year 2011). Agricultural and aquaculture areas in all study areas will be affected due to the landward translation limits of the intertidal areas. Accordingly, it would be advisable to adopt measures to minimize the socioeconomic impacts and loss of ecosystem services in the South Algarve due to climate change driven MSLR during the 21st century and beyond while taking adaptation actions to prevent the loss of environmentally sensitive habitats like salt marshes and sand dunes.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-30938-1_5pt_PT
dc.identifier.slugcv-prod-1867743
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/19904
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherSpringer Nature Switzerlandpt_PT
dc.subjectMean sea-level risept_PT
dc.subjectImpact assessmentpt_PT
dc.subjectCoastal hazard managementpt_PT
dc.subjectSalt marshespt_PT
dc.subjectEstuary and lagoonpt_PT
dc.subjectNumerical modellingpt_PT
dc.titleProjections of maximum tidal inundation limits of estuaries and lagoons of the south Algarve, forced by mean sea level rise: RCP8.5 scenariopt_PT
dc.typeconference object
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceSuiçapt_PT
oaire.citation.endPage20pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleINCREaSE 2019pt_PT
person.familyNameBoski
person.familyNameMoura
person.familyNameVeiga-Pires
person.givenNameTomasz
person.givenNameDelminda
person.givenNameCristina
person.identifier113325
person.identifier.ciencia-id1416-B317-51D1
person.identifier.ciencia-id4A1F-CEDA-E66C
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2462-4179
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0952-6805
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9323-0723
person.identifier.ridB-5144-2008
person.identifier.scopus-author-id6602267486
person.identifier.scopus-author-id15048413000
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7801372905
rcaap.cv.cienciaid0312-EB6A-E1A7 | Delminda Maria de Jesus Moura
rcaap.rightsrestrictedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeconferenceObjectpt_PT
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relation.isAuthorOfPublicationd1541efa-0eaa-48dc-aea3-a1e64aa0065a
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery0e952296-2501-4565-b9b5-5fad918ef8dd

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