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Assessing the invasion risk of the cnidaria Blackfordia virginica Mayer, 1910: a threat to the Baltic Sea ecosystem?

2025-03-22Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorSerandour, Baptiste
dc.contributor.authorLeroy, Boris
dc.contributor.authorBlenckner, Thorsten
dc.contributor.authorMittermayer, Felix
dc.contributor.authorClemmesen, Catriona
dc.contributor.authorCruz, Joana
dc.contributor.authorNowaczyk, Antoine
dc.contributor.authorWinder, Monika
dc.date.accessioned2025-04-15T12:16:15Z
dc.date.available2025-04-15T12:16:15Z
dc.date.issued2025-03-22
dc.description.abstractThe ecological role, bloom extent and long-term dynamics of jellyfishes are mostly overlooked due to sampling limitations, leading to the lack of continuous long-term datasets. A rise in frequency and magnitude of jellyfish invasion around the world is shedding new light on these organisms. In this study, we estimate the current and future distribution of the introduced jellyfish Blackfordia virginica in the Baltic Sea. We determine the combination of favorable levels of temperature and salinity for this species by analyzing presence/absence data from areas outside the Baltic Sea and project the distribution of suitable habitat in the Baltic Sea across different scenarios with variable climate forcing and eutrophication levels. Our results show that suitability increases with rising temperature and optimal salinity range from 13 to 20 for this species. In addition, a relatively large area of the Baltic Sea represents favorable abiotic conditions for B. virginica, enhancing the concerns on its potential range expansion. Spatial analysis illustrates that the coastal areas of the southern Baltic Sea are particularly at risk for the invasion of the species. The observation of the projection of habitat suitability across time highlights that future Baltic Sea environmental conditions increase suitability levels for B. virginica and suggest a potential expansion of its distribution in the future.eng
dc.description.sponsorship2022. 08538. CEECIND; grant agreement No 101060072
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10530-025-03565-w
dc.identifier.eissn1573-1464
dc.identifier.issn1387-3547
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/27040
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.relationMonitoring plastic pollution through the bottom to the top of aquatic food webs
dc.relation.ispartofBiological Invasions
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectInvasive species
dc.subjectJellyfish
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectSpatial dstribution modeling
dc.subjectBaltic sea
dc.titleAssessing the invasion risk of the cnidaria Blackfordia virginica Mayer, 1910: a threat to the Baltic Sea ecosystem?eng
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleMonitoring plastic pollution through the bottom to the top of aquatic food webs
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/CEEC IND5ed/2022.08538.CEECIND%2FCP1729%2FCT0005/PT
oaire.citation.issue4
oaire.citation.startPage106
oaire.citation.titleBiological Invasions
oaire.citation.volume27
oaire.fundingStreamCEEC IND5ed
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameCruz
person.givenNameJoana
person.identifier1810506
person.identifier.ciencia-idDA1E-EE64-65FA
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7191-9204
person.identifier.ridI-9043-2017
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57194288680
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
relation.isAuthorOfPublication87539758-6db5-4ea7-9042-7e59f085d4c2
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery87539758-6db5-4ea7-9042-7e59f085d4c2
relation.isProjectOfPublication44c03e85-7cad-4f0a-a0e4-c58991e21c25
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery44c03e85-7cad-4f0a-a0e4-c58991e21c25

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