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Research Project
Intelligent use of energy in public buildings
Funder
Authors
Publications
Correction: Ferreira, P.M., et al. A neural network based intelligent predictive sensor for cloudiness, solar radiation and air temperature. Sensors 2012, 12, 15750–15777
Publication . Ferreira, P. M.; Gomes, João M.; Martins, I.; Ruano, Antonio
Accurate measurements of global solar radiation and atmospheric temperature,
as well as the availability of the predictions of their evolution over time, are important for different areas of applications, such as agriculture, renewable energy and energy management, or thermal comfort in buildings. For this reason, an intelligent, light-weight and portable sensor was developed, using artificial neural network models as the time-series
predictor mechanisms. These have been identified with the aid of a procedure based on the multi-objective genetic algorithm. As cloudiness is the most significant factor affecting the solar radiation reaching a particular location on the Earth surface, it has great impact on the performance of predictive solar radiation models for that location. This work also represents
one step towards the improvement of such models by using ground-to-sky hemispherical
colour digital images as a means to estimate cloudiness by the fraction of visible sky
corresponding to clouds and to clear sky. The implementation of predictive models in
the prototype has been validated and the system is able to function reliably, providing measurements and four-hour forecasts of cloudiness, solar radiation and air temperature.
Neural models project for solar radiation and atmospheric temperature forecast
Publication . Martins, I.; Ruano, A. E.; Ferreira, P. M.
This work arises from the necessity of temperature and solar radiation forecast, to improve
the Heating, Ventilating, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems e ciency. To do so, it was
necessary to determine neural models capable of such forecast. The chosen characteristics
were solar radiation and temperature because these two characteristics directly a ect
the room temperature inside a building. This forecast system will be implemented on a
portable computational device, so it must be built with low computational complexity.
During this dissertation the various research phases are described with some detail. The
applications were developed on Python programming language due to it library collection.
In this task several algorithms were developed to determine the cloudiness index. The
results of these algorithms were compared with the results obtained using neural models
for the same purpose. In solar radiation and temperature forecast only neural models were
used. The cloudiness index forecast was not implemented as this is only an intermediate
step; instead measured values of cloudiness index were used for the solar radiation forecast.
Regarding the solar radiation forecast two neural models were implemented and compared,
one of the models has an exogenous input, the cloudiness index forecast, and the other
one is simply a time series. This models were compared to determine if the inclusion of the
cloudiness index forecast improves solar radiation forecast. In temperature forecast only
one model will be presented, a Nonlinear AutoRegressive with eXogenous input (NARX)
model, with solar radiation forecast as exogenous input.
All the neural models are radial Basis Function (RBF) and there structure was determined
using a Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (MOGA). The models were used to determine
cloudiness index, forecast solar radiation and temperature.
A neural network based intelligent predictive sensor for cloudiness, solar radiation and air temperature
Publication . Ferreira, P. M.; Gomes, João M.; Martins, I.; Ruano, Antonio
Accurate measurements of global solar radiation and atmospheric temperature,
as well as the availability of the predictions of their evolution over time, are important for different areas of applications, such as agriculture, renewable energy and energy management, or thermal comfort in buildings. For this reason, an intelligent, light-weight and portable sensor was developed, using artificial neural network models as the time-series
predictor mechanisms. These have been identified with the aid of a procedure based on the multi-objective genetic algorithm. As cloudiness is the most significant factor affecting the solar radiation reaching a particular location on the Earth surface, it has great impact on the performance of predictive solar radiation models for that location. This work also represents
one step towards the improvement of such models by using ground-to-sky hemispherical
colour digital images as a means to estimate cloudiness by the fraction of visible sky
corresponding to clouds and to clear sky. The implementation of predictive models in
the prototype has been validated and the system is able to function reliably, providing measurements and four-hour forecasts of cloudiness, solar radiation and air temperature.
A neural network based intelligent predictive sensor for cloudiness, solar radiation and air temperature
Publication . Ferreira, Pedro M.; Gomes, João; Martins, Igor A. C.; Ruano, Antonio
Accurate measurements of global solar radiation and atmospheric temperature, as well as the availability of the predictions of their evolution over time, are important for different areas of applications, such as agriculture, renewable energy and energy management, or thermal comfort in buildings. For this reason, an intelligent, light-weight and portable sensor was developed, using artificial neural network models as the time-series predictor mechanisms. These have been identified with the aid of a procedure based on the multi-objective genetic algorithm. As cloudiness is the most significant factor affecting the solar radiation reaching a particular location on the Earth surface, it has great impact on the performance of predictive solar radiation models for that location. This work also represents one step towards the improvement of such models by using ground-to-sky hemispherical colour digital images as a means to estimate cloudiness by the fraction of visible sky corresponding to clouds and to clear sky. The implementation of predictive models in the prototype has been validated and the system is able to function reliably, providing measurements and four-hour forecasts of cloudiness, solar radiation and air temperature.
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Contributors
Funders
Funding agency
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Funding programme
3599-PPCDT
Funding Award Number
PTDC/ENR/73345/2006