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Social security and economic performance in Portugal: after all that has been said and done how much has actually changed?

dc.contributor.authorPereira, Alfredo
dc.contributor.authorAndraz, Jorge Miguel
dc.date.accessioned2014-05-12T19:43:28Z
dc.date.available2014-05-12T19:43:28Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.description.abstractThis paper provides an empirical estimate of the macroeconomic effects of the Portuguese pay-as-you-go social security system based on data for the period 1970–2007 and on VAR estimates using GDP, the unit cost of labor, the unemployment rate, the savings rate and social security spending. The major findings are twofold. First, growing social security spending has had detrimental effects on all of the private sector variables under consideration suggesting the existence of sizable inefficiencies. Second, these inefficiencies persist despite the successive reforms that took place over the last two decades. These results highlight the need for structural reforms of the pay-as-you-go system thereby addressing the sources of these inefficiencies, regardless of whether or not the system is financially sustainable. Furthermore, any reforms designed to address sustainability concerns cannot ignore these inefficiencies or risk making them even worse and thereby hindering the quest for sustainability itself.por
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10258-012-0082-7
dc.identifier.issn1617-982X
dc.identifier.otherAUT: JAN00657;
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/3872
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.peerreviewedyespor
dc.publisherSpringer Verlagpor
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10258-012-0082-7por
dc.subjectSocial securitypor
dc.subjectUnemploymentpor
dc.subjectSavingspor
dc.subjectOutputpor
dc.subjectPortugalpor
dc.subjectVARpor
dc.titleSocial security and economic performance in Portugal: after all that has been said and done how much has actually changed?por
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/3599-PPCDT/PTDC%2FECO%2F64595%2F2006/PT
oaire.citation.endPage100por
oaire.citation.issue2
oaire.citation.startPage83por
oaire.citation.titlePortuguese Economic Journalpor
oaire.citation.volume11por
oaire.fundingStream3599-PPCDT
person.familyNameAndraz
person.givenNameJorge
person.identifier.ciencia-idEC1D-CDFD-EB51
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9209-3344
person.identifier.ridB-5858-2009
person.identifier.scopus-author-id8566879600
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsrestrictedAccesspor
rcaap.typearticlepor
relation.isAuthorOfPublication18a100c0-998a-4879-a6db-86f067253a64
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery18a100c0-998a-4879-a6db-86f067253a64
relation.isProjectOfPublicatione06fe02d-0559-437b-bbfe-c486395dbe33
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscoverye06fe02d-0559-437b-bbfe-c486395dbe33

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