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Agent-based simulations reveal the possibility of multiple rapid northern routes for the second Neanderthal dispersal from Western to Eastern Eurasia

datacite.subject.sdg04:Educação de Qualidade
datacite.subject.sdg09:Indústria, Inovação e Infraestruturas
datacite.subject.sdg11:Cidades e Comunidades Sustentáveis
dc.contributor.authorCoco, Emily
dc.contributor.authorIovita, Radu
dc.contributor.editorMarco Peresani
dc.date.accessioned2026-04-15T10:46:10Z
dc.date.available2026-04-15T10:46:10Z
dc.date.issued2025-06-09
dc.description.abstractGenetic and archaeological evidence imply a second major movement of Neanderthals from Western to Central and Eastern Eurasia sometime in the Late Pleistocene. The genetic data suggest a date of 120−80 ka for the dispersal and the archaeological record provides an earliest date of arrival in the Altai by ca. 60 ka. Because the number of archaeological sites linking the two regions is very small, the exact route taken and its timing have been the matter of considerable debate. In particular, climate change in this period modified landscapes considerably, changing the cost of moving in different directions. Here, we apply agent-based least-cost path simulations for the first time to Neanderthals, showing that they most likely took a northern route through the Urals and southern Siberia under all climate scenarios. Agents leaving either the southern or the northern Caucasus Mountains reach the Altai in less than 2000 years during two time windows when the climate was mild, in MIS 5e (the Last Interglacial) and in MIS 3. The latter coincides with the dated presence of Neanderthals at Chagyrskaya and Okladnikov Caves in the Altai. The results of this modeling approach demonstrate a remarkable east-west geographic connectivity of northern Eurasia via river corridors despite the presumed barriers of the Ural Mountains and major north-south flowing rivers. Our results highlight the unique strengths of agentbased simulations to reconstruct pathways for ancient migrations.eng
dc.description.sponsorship714842
dc.identifier.doi10.1371/journal.pone.0325693
dc.identifier.issn1932-6203
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/28680
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherPublic Library of Science (PLoS)
dc.relation.ispartofPLOS One
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.titleAgent-based simulations reveal the possibility of multiple rapid northern routes for the second Neanderthal dispersal from Western to Eastern Eurasiaeng
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue6
oaire.citation.startPagee0325693
oaire.citation.titlePLoS ONE
oaire.citation.volume20
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameCoco
person.givenNameEmily
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9200-8469
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationde4c2b64-79ba-457d-9e43-16951afaf1a9
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryde4c2b64-79ba-457d-9e43-16951afaf1a9

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