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Implications of sea-level rise for overwash enhancement at South Portugal

dc.contributor.authorFerreira, Oscar
dc.contributor.authorKupfer, Sunna
dc.contributor.authorCostas, Susana
dc.date.accessioned2021-09-08T10:55:12Z
dc.date.available2022-08-22T00:30:14Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.abstractOverwash is one of the most prominent hazards affecting coastal zones, and the associated consequences are expected to increase because of both sea-level rise and intensification of coastal occupation. This study used a 23-year data set of wave heights and tide-surge levels to define return periods of overwash potential for current and future sea-level conditions, namely 2055 and 2100, at two sites from South Portugal. A relevant intensification of both frequency and magnitude of the overwash is expected to occur by mid-century if adaptation measures are not taken and further aggravated by 2100. Current overwash levels with a return period of 100-years can reach a return period lower than 20-years by 2055 and 10-years by 2100. However, these values are rather variable from site to site, highlighting the urgency to develop detailed local studies to identify climate change impacts along coastal sectors, based on validated equations and long-term time series. These could be easily carried by replicating and adapting the here proposed methodology to sandy coasts worldwide. Understating the impact that climate change (namely sea-level rise) may have at the local level is key to contribute to effective management plans that include adaptation measures to minimize risks associated with coastal floods.pt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipALG-LISBOA-01-145-FEDER-028657
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationFerreira, Ó., Kupfer, S. & Costas, S. Implications of sea-level rise for overwash enhancement at South Portugal. Nat Hazards (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04917-0pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11069-021-04917-0pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn0921-030X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/16950
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherSpringerpt_PT
dc.subjectCoastal floodspt_PT
dc.subjectClimate changept_PT
dc.subjectCoastal hazardspt_PT
dc.subjectCoastal managementpt_PT
dc.titleImplications of sea-level rise for overwash enhancement at South Portugalpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/158003/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/9471 - RIDTI/PTDC%2FCTA-GFI%2F28949%2F2017/PT
oaire.citation.titleNatural Hazardspt_PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream9471 - RIDTI
person.familyNameFerreira
person.familyNameCostas
person.givenNameÓscar
person.givenNameSusana
person.identifier1448818
person.identifier.ciencia-id1F1C-DF44-94C9
person.identifier.ciencia-idAF19-9EEE-7550
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9975-0036
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-4005-077X
person.identifier.scopus-author-id9043656500
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery62d73183-10ba-42ca-80a7-458c42d1375b
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