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Storm impact assessment for Scotland’s wave-dominated sedimentary coasts

datacite.subject.sdg13:Ação Climática
datacite.subject.sdg11:Cidades e Comunidades Sustentáveis
datacite.subject.sdg14:Proteger a Vida Marinha
dc.contributor.authorHorsburgh, Nicola
dc.contributor.authorLoureiro, Carlos
dc.contributor.authorHurst, Martin
dc.contributor.authorRennie, Alistair
dc.contributor.authorTyler, Andrew
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-24T13:11:06Z
dc.date.available2026-07-24T13:11:06Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.description.abstractAlong wave-dominated sedimentary coasts, risks posed by chronic coastal erosion and rising sea levels during this century have received much atten-tion. However, extreme wave runup during large storms are still poorly charac-terised at large spatial scales, and can contribute significantly to coastal flooding and erosion. This creates an important challenge for coastal management and adaptation planning. This work presents a national-scale storm impact assessment for Scotland’s wave-dominated sand and gravel coasts. It uses readily available national and European datasets to model extreme total water levels that include storm wave runup, tides, storm surge and changes in mean sea level. Future impacts are assessed by integrating likely climate-driven changes to storm forcing and coastal morphology. Outputs estimate the likely storm impact regime at 50 m alongshore transects in Scotland’s natural sand and gravel coasts for the present day, 2050 and 2100, considering climate change scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Results indicate 65%, 11% and 4% of transects currently experience collision, overwash and inundation as the most severe storm impact. Towards 2100, tran-sects in overwash and inundation increase to 20% (22%) for RCP4.5 (RCP8.5), but local increases vary considerably between coastal cells. This study contributes to a strategic, national scale understanding of coastal risk that supports the spatial prioritisation of areas in need of proactive adaptation solutions.eng
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/978-3-032-15473-6_49
dc.identifier.isbn9783032154729
dc.identifier.isbn9783032154736
dc.identifier.issn2211-0577
dc.identifier.issn2211-0585
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/29309
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.relation.ispartofCoastal Research Library
dc.relation.ispartofCoastal Dynamics 2025
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectCoastal adaptation
dc.subjectFlooding
dc.subjectErosion
dc.subjectWave runup
dc.titleStorm impact assessment for Scotland’s wave-dominated sedimentary coastseng
dc.typebook part
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage316
oaire.citation.startPage310
oaire.citation.titleCoastal Dynamics 2025
oaire.citation.volume1
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameLoureiro
person.givenNameCarlos
person.identifier453264
person.identifier.ciencia-id011D-31BD-C6B6
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-3117-3492
person.identifier.ridU-9863-2018
person.identifier.scopus-author-id23667861200
relation.isAuthorOfPublication0da09945-415f-4574-a444-268a1c05b544
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery0da09945-415f-4574-a444-268a1c05b544

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