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Parameterised barrier morphological evolution for future storm impact assessment

datacite.subject.sdg13:Ação Climática
datacite.subject.sdg11:Cidades e Comunidades Sustentáveis
datacite.subject.sdg14:Proteger a Vida Marinha
dc.contributor.authorLoureiro, Carlos
dc.contributor.authorHorsburgh, Nicola
dc.contributor.authorFerreira, Óscar
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-23T12:35:15Z
dc.date.available2026-07-23T12:35:15Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.description.abstractCoastal storm impacts are mainly determined by the interaction of extreme water levels with barrier morphology, particularly the height of the foredune. While future projections of storm hydrodynamic forcing, integrating sea level rise, tides, waves and storm surges, are readily available, predicting future barrier morphology at a decadal scale remains a challenge due to uncertainties in modeling morphodynamic processes. This study proposes a simplified model to predict future foredune morphology at decadal scale and determine storm impacts on coastal barriers, focusing on the critical role of foredune morphology. The model identifies three morphological behavior modes based on the nature of the sediment budget and associated shoreline dynamics, distinguishing between: “keep-up mode” for accreting barriers, “catch-up mode” for stable to mildly accreting barriers, and “give-up mode” for eroding barriers. Application to the Portuguese coast, specifically the eroding barrier of Torrão do Lameiro, demonstrates that even with rising sea level and higher total water levels, storm impacts remain within the same regime by 2050. This simplified model offers a practical approach for considering an evolving foredune morphology, which can support first-order assessments of future storm impacts in changing climate.eng
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/978-3-032-15473-6_71
dc.identifier.eissn2211-0585
dc.identifier.isbn9783032154729
dc.identifier.isbn9783032154736
dc.identifier.issn2211-0577
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/29299
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.relation.ispartofCoastal Research Library
dc.relation.ispartofCoastal Dynamics 2025
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectBarrier morphology
dc.subjectForedune
dc.subjectSediment budget
dc.subjectStorm impacts
dc.subjectCoastal behaviour modelling
dc.titleParameterised barrier morphological evolution for future storm impact assessmenteng
dc.typebook part
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage474
oaire.citation.startPage469
oaire.citation.titleCoastal Dynamics 2025
oaire.citation.volume1
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameLoureiro
person.familyNameFerreira
person.givenNameCarlos
person.givenNameÓscar
person.identifier453264
person.identifier.ciencia-id011D-31BD-C6B6
person.identifier.ciencia-id1F1C-DF44-94C9
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-3117-3492
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9975-0036
person.identifier.ridU-9863-2018
person.identifier.scopus-author-id23667861200
relation.isAuthorOfPublication0da09945-415f-4574-a444-268a1c05b544
relation.isAuthorOfPublication14adf536-4f81-42de-b00f-6d1cf3b0d75e
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery0da09945-415f-4574-a444-268a1c05b544

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