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Trends in NE Atlantic landings (southern Portugal): identifying the relative importance of fisheries and environmental variables

dc.contributor.authorErzini, Karim
dc.date.accessioned2016-12-14T16:22:31Z
dc.date.available2016-12-14T16:22:31Z
dc.date.issued2005
dc.description.abstractTime series of commercial landings from the Algarve (southern Portugal) from 1982 to 1999 were analyzed using min/max autocorrelation factor analysis (MAFA) and dynamic factor analysis (DFA). These techniques were used to identify trends and explore the relationships between the response variables (annual landings of 12 species) and explanatory variables [sea surface temperature, rainfall, an upwelling index, Guadiana river (south-east Portugal) flow, the North Atlantic oscillation, the number of licensed fishing vessels and the number of commercial fishermen]. Landings were more highly correlated with non-lagged environmental variables and in particular with Guadiana river flow. Both techniques gave coherent results, with the most important trend being a steady decline over time. A DFA model with two explanatory variables (Guadiana river flow and number of fishermen) and three common trends (smoothing functions over time) gave good fits to 10 of the 12 species. Results of other models indicated that river flow is the more important explanatory variable in this model. Changes in the mean flow and discharge regime of the Guadiana river resulting from the construction of the Alqueva dam, completed in 2002, are therefore likely to have a significant and deleterious impact on Algarve fisheries landings.
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/j.1365-2419.2005.00332.x
dc.identifier.issn1054-6006
dc.identifier.otherAUT: KER00543;
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/8842
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherBlackwell Publishing
dc.relation.isbasedonWOS:000228489600003
dc.titleTrends in NE Atlantic landings (southern Portugal): identifying the relative importance of fisheries and environmental variables
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage209
oaire.citation.issue3
oaire.citation.startPage195
oaire.citation.titleFisheries Oceanography
oaire.citation.volume14
person.familyNameErzini
person.givenNameKarim
person.identifier.ciencia-idD917-7133-341A
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-1411-0126
person.identifier.ridM-5216-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7004015948
rcaap.rightsopenAccess
rcaap.typearticle
relation.isAuthorOfPublicatione20f0e2d-3085-4c37-9e98-260dc9faddea
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverye20f0e2d-3085-4c37-9e98-260dc9faddea

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