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Effects of climate change and anthropogenic pressures in the water quality of a coastal lagoon (Ria Formosa, Portugal)

dc.contributor.authorRodrigues, Marta
dc.contributor.authorRosa, Alexandra
dc.contributor.authorCravo, Alexandra
dc.contributor.authorJacob, J.
dc.contributor.authorFortunato, André B.
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-24T17:14:10Z
dc.date.available2021-06-24T17:14:10Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.abstractUnderstanding how climatic and anthropogenic drivers will influence coastal lagoons is fundamental to guarantee their preservation and sustainability. The Ria Formosa (coastal lagoon, South coast of Portugal) is a very important ecosystem that supports diverse economic activities in the region. The 3D coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical model SCHISM was validated and used to assess the influence of climate change and anthropogenic pressures on the water quality of the Ria Formosa. Five scenarios were simulated: reference scenario (S0), mean sea level rise (SLR) of 0.5 m (S1), increase of the air temperature of 1.68 °C (S2), increase of the outflow from the wastewater treatment plants (WWTP) by 50% (S3) and a combined scenario (S4). Results suggest that SLR of 0.5 m promotes an increase of 0.5-3 in the salinity near the area of influence of the WWTP. SLR decreases the inorganic nutrient concentrations in these areas by about 40-60%, due to an increase of the dilution. In contrast, the increase of the outflow from the WWTP by 50% increases the nutrients concentrations by about 20-40%. The increase of the air temperature alone by 1.68 °C increases the water temperature by 0-1 °C. The combined scenario suggests antagonist effects in the nutrient concentrations. Overall, the trophic index (TRIX) of the lagoon calculated for the scenarios exhibits only minor differences relative to the reference scenario, except in some areas near the WWTP discharges. In these areas, TRIX tends to increase with the increase of the outflow from the WWTP in scenario S3. These results provide further insight into the response of coastal lagoons, and the Ria Formosa in particular, to future changes and contribute to support their management.pt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipPTDC/AAG-MAA/6899/2014pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146311pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn0048-9697
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/16657
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectSCHISMpt_PT
dc.subjectNumerical modellingpt_PT
dc.subjectSea level risept_PT
dc.subjectTemperaturept_PT
dc.subjectNutrientspt_PT
dc.titleEffects of climate change and anthropogenic pressures in the water quality of a coastal lagoon (Ria Formosa, Portugal)pt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.startPage146311pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleScience of the Total Environmentpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume780pt_PT
person.familyNameCravo
person.familyNameJacob
person.givenNameAlexandra
person.givenNameJosé
person.identifier.ciencia-id7419-EE20-8039
person.identifier.ciencia-id7210-CCF6-4C5E
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-2569-3929
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9718-7470
person.identifier.scopus-author-id36552467800
rcaap.rightsrestrictedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationf19c20c8-9654-43db-841b-2c6f14979df5
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationae234da9-68be-4322-a65b-7b1f2c1c0135
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryf19c20c8-9654-43db-841b-2c6f14979df5

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