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Variability patterns and phenology of harmful phytoplankton blooms off southern Portugal: looking for region-specific environmental drivers and predictors

dc.contributor.authorLima, M.J.
dc.contributor.authorRelvas, Paulo
dc.contributor.authorBarbosa, Ana
dc.date.accessioned2023-01-03T10:05:59Z
dc.date.available2023-01-03T10:05:59Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.date.updated2022-12-22T18:33:21Z
dc.description.abstractHarmful algal blooms (HABs) negatively impact coastal ecosystems, fisheries, and human health, and their prediction has become imperative for effective coastal management. This study aimed to evaluate spatialtemporal variability patterns and phenology for key toxigenic phytoplankton species off southern Portugal, during a 6-year period, and identify region-specific environmental drivers and predictors. Total abundance of species responsible for amnesic shellfish poisoning (Pseudo-nitzschia spp.), diarrhetic shellfish poisoning (Dinophysis spp.), and paralytic shellfish poisoning (G. catenatum) were retrieved, from the National Bivalve Mollusk Monitoring System public database. Contemporaneous environmental variables were acquired from satellite remote sensing, model-derived data, and in situ observations, and generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to explore the functional relationships between HABs and environmental variables and identify regionspecific predictors. Pseudo-nitzschia spp. showed a bimodal annual cycle for most coastal production areas, with spring and summer maxima, reflecting the increase in light intensity during the mixed layer shoaling stage, and the later stimulatory effects of upwelling events, with a higher bloom frequency over coastal areas subjected to stronger upwelling intensity. Dinophysis spp. exhibited a unimodal annual cycle, with spring/summer maxima associated with stratified conditions, that typically promote dinoflagellates. Dinophysis spp. blooms were delayed with respect to Pseudo-nitzschia spp. spring blooms, and followed by Pseudo-nitzschia spp. summer blooms, probably reflecting upwelling-relaxation cycles. G. catenatum occurred occasionally, namely in areas more influenced by river discharges, under weaker upwelling. Statistical-empirical models (GAMs) explained 7-8%, and 21− 54% of the variability in Pseudo-nitzschia spp. and Dinophysis spp., respectively. Overall, a set of four easily accessible environmental variables, surface photosynthetically available radiation, mixed layer depth, sea surface temperature, and chlorophyll-a concentration, emerged as the most influential predictors. Additionally, over the coastal production areas along the south coast, river discharges exerted minor negative effects on both HAB groups. Despite evidence supporting the role of upwelling intensity as an environmental driver of Pseudonitzschia spp., it was not identified as a relevant model predictor. Future model developments, such as the inclusion of additional environmental variables, and the implementation of species- and period-specific, and hybrid modelling approaches, may further support HAB operational forecasting and managing over complex coastal domains.pt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipMAR-01.04.02-FEAMP0003
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.eissn1878-1470
dc.identifier.slugcv-prod-2970355
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/18715
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.subjectPhytoplankton phenologypt_PT
dc.subjectHarmful algal bloomspt_PT
dc.subjectPseudo-nitzschiapt_PT
dc.subjectDinophysispt_PT
dc.subjectCoastal upwellingpt_PT
dc.subjectPredictive modelspt_PT
dc.titleVariability patterns and phenology of harmful phytoplankton blooms off southern Portugal: looking for region-specific environmental drivers and predictorspt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.startPage102254pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleHarmful Algaept_PT
oaire.citation.volume116pt_PT
person.familyNameBorlido Oliveira Lima
person.familyNameRelvas
person.familyNameBarbosa
person.givenNameMaria João
person.givenNamePaulo
person.givenNameAna
person.identifier.ciencia-idDE10-78F7-6E02
person.identifier.ciencia-id2412-1F65-A044
person.identifier.ciencia-idF514-2180-4CF8
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9401-0661
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6404-5895
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7402-246X
person.identifier.ridB-1257-2008
person.identifier.scopus-author-id6505976206
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7103244778
rcaap.cv.cienciaidF514-2180-4CF8 | Ana Maria Branco Barbosa
rcaap.rightsrestrictedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication9f0228f8-33f1-4a44-8c60-5d8bce4b5b39
relation.isAuthorOfPublication94f4d10b-242d-4560-b716-6375f1a01eac
relation.isAuthorOfPublication5b72648c-41b5-46c0-9a7f-7fa2f514b973
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery5b72648c-41b5-46c0-9a7f-7fa2f514b973

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