Browsing by Author "Cunha, Maria da Conceição"
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- A new method for groundwater plume detection under uncertaintyPublication . Nunes, Luís; Cunha, Maria da Conceição; Ribeiro, Luís; Azevedo, JoãoGroundwater contamination plumes characterization is a very hard task to perform, requiring usually a large number of sampling sites. In this article a method to optimize a monitoring network for plume detection and delimitation is proposed. It is assumed that a prior extensive sampling campaign was made, and only a few sampling sites must be included in the optimal monitoring network. The objective function incorporates the prior knowledge about concentration variability, in the form of its density function, and also a measure of spatial coverage (space-filling method), in order to best distribute the stations over the field. The method was applied to a synthetic case-study with 160 sampling locations, and a final optimal monitoring network with 40 stations was obtained. Simulated annealing optimization algorithm was used to solve this very difficult combinatorial problem, which has more than 8,6x1037 possible solutions).
- Screening of sustainable groundwater sources for integration into a regional drought-prone water supply systemPublication . Stigter, T. Y.; Monteiro, José Paulo; Nunes, L.; Vieira, João; Cunha, Maria da Conceição; Ribeiro, Luís; Nascimento, João; Lucas, HelenaThis paper reports on the qualitative and quantitative screening of groundwater sources for integration into the public water supply system of the Algarve, Portugal. The results are employed in a decision support system currently under development for an integrated water resources management scheme in the region. Such a scheme is crucial for several reasons, including the extreme seasonal and annual variations in rainfall, the effect of climate change on more frequent and long-lasting droughts, the continuously increasing water demand and the high risk of a single-source water supply policy. The latter was revealed during the severe drought of 2004 and 2005, when surface reservoirs were depleted and the regional water demand could not be met, despite the drilling of emergency wells. For screening and selection, quantitative criteria are based on aquifer properties and well yields, whereas qualitative criteria are defined by water quality indices. These reflect the well’s degree of violation of drinking water standards for different sets of variables, including toxicity parameters, nitrate and chloride, iron and manganese and microbiological parameters. Results indicate the current availability of at least 1100 l s−1 of high quality groundwater (55% of the regional demand), requiring only disinfection (900 l s−1) or basic treatment, prior to human consumption. These groundwater withdrawals are sustainable when compared to mean annual recharge, considering that at least 40% is preserved for ecological demands. A more accurate and comprehensive analysis of sustainability is performed with the help of steady-state and transient groundwater flow simulations, which account for aquifer geometry, boundary conditions, recharge and discharge rates, pumping activity and season. (tibor.stigter@ist.utl.pt) ality. They permit an advanced analysis of present and future scenarios and show that increasing water demands and decreasing rainfall will make the water supply system extremely vulnerable, with a high risk of groundwater salinization and ecosystem degradation.
- Section 2: Monitoring programmes: the fundamental component of estuaries management. How to design one?Publication . Nunes, L.; Caeiro, S.; Ramos, Tomás Barros; Cunha, Maria da Conceição; Ribeiro, Luís; Costa, Maria H.This article focuses on the design of a conceptual framework to design and assess environmental estuarine monitoring programmes, including the networks, to detect quality status changes in coastal areas within environmental management programmes. Monitoring is a fundamental component in any management system, and in particular in sensitive areas under strong human pressures, like estuaries. These pressures will be reflected in impacts in the ecosystem and also in responses from it. A monitoring program including the network and the indicators measured, should be designed to be able to identify the i) pressures, ii) the state and effects, and iii) the responses of human action in the estuary according to casualty chains, also the monitoring performance should be measured to assess the effectiveness of the monitoring program itself. Answers to these needs are studied in this article, namely in what concerns the selection and location of the monitoring stations. To evaluate the “best” monitoring design one should first clearly identify the objectives of the network and which indicators (in the sense of important variables that reflect environmental attributes) are most appropriate for the particular situation. In this work two methods for monitoring network design will be evaluated, namely i) variance-reduction based, and ii) space-filling. These two are examples of a statistically-based method, and of a random-allocation-based method. The most appropriate objective functions are used to reflect the objectives of the monitoring. In all cases the objective function models are solved with the simulated annealing meta-heuristic algorithm, implemented by the team to solve monitoring optimisation problems. Due to the amount and quality of the information available, the Sado estuary is used as a case-study to demonstrate the results of the methods and helping in the comparative analysis.
- The water crisis in southern Portugal: how did we get there and how should we solve itPublication . Nunes, Luís; Monteiro, José Paulo; Cunha, Maria da Conceição; Vieira, João; Lucas, Helena; Ribeiro, LuísUntil very recently, public water supply in the Algarve region was almost entirely supported by groundwater wells. However, in the last years of the XX Century, the Portuguese central administration defined a scheme for the public water supply sector entirely based in surface water from large dams, in order to guarantee the public water supply. The efforts to abandon groundwater as a source for public supply started in 1998, after a large investment in new infrastructures and rehabilitation of other ones. However, the practical implementation of this water supply scheme showed that an integrated resource management is needed in order to implement a more economical and reliable solution. The present paper describes the historical background and the evolution of water use in the last decades until the present time in the Algarve, and a proposal for restructuring the management of the water supplies based in the development of a decision support system in the scope of an integrated water resources management.